The atmosphere in Meyzieu's market is thick with anticipation and uncertainty. Kheira Vermorel, a nurse who moved from Algeria to France 35 years ago, finds herself at a crossroads. The sudden snap elections called by President Emmanuel Macron have intensified the political climate, leaving Vermorel and many others in a dilemma. Should she continue supporting Macron, or should she shift her allegiance to the far-right National Rally (RN) to shake up the political landscape?
Vermorel's predicament is emblematic of the broader voter sentiment across France. The RN, led by Marine Le Pen, has surged ahead in the initial round of voting, capturing the sentiments of 9.4 million voters. This has intensified the stakes of the election, with over 200 candidates withdrawing to form a 'republican front' aimed at preventing the RN from gaining power.
The concept of a 'republican front' is not new in French politics. It involves centrist and left-wing voters rallying behind specific candidates to counter the far-right threat. However, the effectiveness of this strategy remains uncertain until the decisive second round of voting this Sunday. Vermorel, like many others, hopes that her vote will contribute to a stable and inclusive France, even as she prepares her husband's favorite meals to ease the tension at home.
The political landscape is further complicated by the withdrawal of Macron's centrist candidates from the race. Candidates like Sarah Tanzilli have made tough decisions to block the RN, emphasizing the potential risks of extreme ideologies gaining ground in France. As Tanzilli noted, "The urgency to prevent extremist victories looms large, and we must act decisively."
Volunteers like Ikrame Saidi are actively canvassing the market, engaging with voters to rally support for their candidates. The complexities of voter preferences are evident, with some centrists hesitant to endorse candidates perceived as extremes, blurring the lines between the far left and the far right in their eyes.
Amidst the political turmoil, individuals like Làhsene Hadbe have expressed disillusionment with the electoral process, opting out of voting altogether. Others, like Valérie Sodoyer, plan to cast blank votes in protest. Long-time residents like Saida Khlifi, who migrated from Tunisia fifty years ago, reflect on the deteriorating social welfare system and the looming specter of far-right policies targeting migrants and minorities.
Despite varying degrees of disillusionment, many like Khlifi are resolute in their determination to participate in the election to counter the far-right surge and uphold democratic values. As Khlifi remarked, "The potential ramifications of a far-right victory on individuals who have long contributed to society remain a cause for concern."
The financial markets have also reacted to the election results. Following the initial round, French stocks and the euro experienced notable fluctuations. The CAC 40 index rose by 2.7%, and the euro reached its strongest level against the dollar in over two weeks. However, concerns about potential political gridlock and its impact on economic policies persist. Analysts predict a hung parliament as the most probable outcome, which could stall economic reforms and exacerbate France's debt issues.
Marine Le Pen's National Rally secured 33% of the votes in the first round, leading over the left-wing bloc's 28% and Macron's centrist alliance, which garnered 22%. As the nation heads towards the second round of voting, the possibility of forming France's first far-right government since World War II looms. The key question is whether the far-right will achieve an absolute majority, a scenario that would significantly impact French fiscal policy and market stability.
The upcoming election is a pivotal moment for France. Market shoppers like Kheira Vermorel, who are at the heart of this political drama, face a crucial decision that could reshape the nation's future. As the second round of voting approaches, the stakes have never been higher, and the outcome remains uncertain.